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7NEPMCC receives federal grants, including LJI money, but also other Canadian Heritage funding (the LJI is administered, not retained).Pass 2: The Forensics, the Math, and the Philosophy of Canadian PollingThe Liaison / NEPMCC Reciprocal-Capture ProblemPollingMainstreet appears to use one-decimal-place precision more often than other firms (Mainstreet: "44 / 40 / 6 / 5 / 2"); Nanos consistently reports one decimal (Nanos: "39.1 / 37.9 / 6.3 / 9.5"); online firms often round to integers.Pass 2: The Forensics, the Math, and the Philosophy of Canadian PollingBenford / last-digit analysisPollingThis is the structural deficit that explains, more than any other single factor, why Canadian commercial polling consistently leaves a 2-point CPC bias on the table.Pass 2: The Forensics, the Math, and the Philosophy of Canadian PollingThe probability-sampling frontierPollingOther journalists already adjacent:PASS 4 — The Researchers, The Natural Experiments, and the Threshold of a Canadian Polling ScandalJournalism: One man, one Substack, one modelPolling"Earnscliffe consultants also worked for other government departments, some of whose ministers were Martin acolytes.PASS 5 — FOLLOW THE MONEY: The Canadian Media-Pollster-Government Political EconomyEarnscliffe and the "POR-as-lobbying" templatePollingBased on its success at the Finance Department, Earnscliffe eventually got contracts at 13 other departments."PASS 5 — FOLLOW THE MONEY: The Canadian Media-Pollster-Government Political EconomyEarnscliffe and the "POR-as-lobbying" templatePolling…se programs are politically associated with one party and openly opposed by the other (Poilievre repeatedly committed to defunding the CBC during the 2025 campaign; Carney increased CBC funding by $150M in Budget 2025).PASS 5 — FOLLOW THE MONEY: The Canadian Media-Pollster-Government Political EconomyThe Journalism Labour Tax Credit math is the most quantitatively powerful piece of leveragePolling