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Everything in one place. Articles argue from the research; papers are longer original work; research documents are kept whole; concepts and open problems are what the research turned up.
All topics281Attention & feeds72Attribution & credit37Canadian economy & policy36Video & design32Canadian politics & power31ADHD & attention22Polling14McLuhan & media theory11Canadian media5Prices & markets3AI-directed development2Drugs & public health2Health & self-care2Fewer topics
Open the Polling topic page14 itemsFigure
Every number the research reported. Figures taken from the summaries and findings of the documents, with the sentence each one came in. The document it links to carries the source.
01~40% cellphone share (target should have been 60–70%)Pass 2: The Forensics, the Math, and the Philosophy of Canadian PollingFigurePolling40%22 Jul
02The Jan-2025 ">99% CPC win" reading was not a model failure; it was a correct probabilistic statement given the input polls at that moment.Pass 2: The Forensics, the Math, and the Philosophy of Canadian PollingFigurePolling99%22 Jul
03Crowfoot 2025 was a systematically biased model event — the 338Canada model's incorporation of national-trend signal pulled Poilievre's predicted share toward 73% when local fundamentals never wavered from the 80% range.PASS 4 — The Researchers, The Natural Experiments, and the Threshold of a Canadian Polling ScandalFigurePolling73%22 Jul
04Carney's 58% one-year approval is in the middle of the historical distribution — below the two-thirds enjoyed by Chrétien and J.PASS 4 — The Researchers, The Natural Experiments, and the Threshold of a Canadian Polling ScandalFigurePolling58%22 Jul
05Janet Brown Opinion Research (Calgary), using Trend Research (Edmonton) for 40% landline / 60% cell hybrid telephone — "Albertans calling Albertans" — has the strongest track record in Alberta polling.PASS 4 — The Researchers, The Natural Experiments, and the Threshold of a Canadian Polling ScandalFigurePolling40%22 Jul
06The 2019 AggregateIQ (AIQ, Victoria-based, Cambridge Analytica-linked) joint federal/BC investigation found AIQ's safeguards inadequate and exposed the personal information of 35 million people — yet produced no party-level enforcement.PASS 4 — The Researchers, The Natural Experiments, and the Threshold of a Canadian Polling ScandalFigurePolling35 million22 Jul
07The 2024–25 drop is notable — a roughly 23% year-on-year contraction that aligns with the late-Trudeau-era fiscal restraint signal but also coincides with election-cycle reduction.PASS 5 — FOLLOW THE MONEY: The Canadian Media-Pollster-Government Political EconomyFigurePolling23%22 Jul
08Léger reports 600+ employees and is described in industry sources at revenue scales of $55–80M+ annually.PASS 5 — FOLLOW THE MONEY: The Canadian Media-Pollster-Government Political EconomyFigurePolling$55–80M+22 Jul
09There have been reports that the company earned $6-million in contracts since the Liberals took office in 1993...PASS 5 — FOLLOW THE MONEY: The Canadian Media-Pollster-Government Political EconomyFigurePolling$622 Jul
10The user's attached document mentioned the Liberal "$600M media support package." That figure is from the 2018 Bains/Morneau announcement of $595M over five years.PASS 5 — FOLLOW THE MONEY: The Canadian Media-Pollster-Government Political EconomyFigurePolling$600M22 Jul
11When the Online News Act $100M and Quebec's separate provincial tax credit are included, the figure approaches $1.85 billion.PASS 5 — FOLLOW THE MONEY: The Canadian Media-Pollster-Government Political EconomyFigurePolling$100M22 Jul
12Poilievre's 8.1M votes vs O'Toole's 5.7M is a 42% increase.PASS 5 — FOLLOW THE MONEY: The Canadian Media-Pollster-Government Political EconomyFigurePolling42%22 Jul
13Conservative spend on the 2021 campaign exceeded $28.3M total; Liberal spend was $27M.PASS 5 — FOLLOW THE MONEY: The Canadian Media-Pollster-Government Political EconomyFigurePolling$28.3M22 Jul
14This asymmetry exists not because of suppression but because the LPC has held federal power for 9 of the last 10 years and the talent pool naturally clusters around the incumbent.PASS 5 — FOLLOW THE MONEY: The Canadian Media-Pollster-Government Political EconomyFigurePolling10 years22 Jul